Friday, January 25, 2008
Republicans can determine Demo candidate
Here's an interesting thought.
Republicans can actually decide who the Democratic nominee will be.
In the following states the Democratic primary is "open" meaning anyone from any party can vote. Because the Republican convention is most likely to be OPEN, who you vote for in the Republican primary won't matter much. A 20% shift in delegates still won't sew the nomination up for any of the candidates.
Therefore, to make a difference, vote in the Democratic primaries if you live in any of the following states and vote for Obama if you wish the Republicans to win the White House. He will be a much easier candidate to beat. I've listed the states in alpha sort with their delegates. If Clinton's percentage is kept below 47% she won't have enough delegates to win and the Dem convention will be open. That very process exhausts the money, weakening the Dems in the general election. It will also raise Clinton's negatives among the population as she lashes out against Obama. It will get even uglier. Here are the states that Republicans can vote in Democratic primaries:
Alabama60
Arkansas47
California441
Georgia103
Hawaii29
Idaho23
Illinois185
Indiana84
Massachusetts121
Minnesota88
Mississippi40
Missouri88
Montana24
Nebraska31
New Jersey127
North Carolina134
North Dakota21
Ohio161
Rhode Island32
South Carolina54
Tennessee85
Texas228
Utah29
Vermont23
Virginia101
Washington97
West Virginia39
Wisconsin92
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Mark J. Stoddard
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